What this tells you
The question it answers: what could my BTC, MSTR, MSTY, STRC and Treasury holdings be worth by year, and can they pay the income I want when I retire?
You enter
- What you hold and today's prices
- Your age and the year you want to retire
- Which account each holding sits in: taxable, Traditional IRA or Roth
- The yearly income you want
You get
- Projected value every year to 2045 in Bear, Base and Bull cases
- Your income by source, and where reinvested income goes
- An estimated tax bill in your retirement year
- What to sell each year, and from which account, to fund your income
- How your plan compares with others, if you choose to share it
Keep in mind
- Projections follow the Bitcoin power-law model and your assumptions. They are not predictions.
- Prices and holdings start as examples. Replace them with yours.
- An illustration to discuss with a CPA or planner, not advice.
Total portfolio value 2026–2045
Bull
Base
Bear
Annual income streams (selected scenario)
MSTY dividends
STRC income
Bond income
Cash interest
Portfolio value by account type (selected scenario)
Taxable
Traditional IRA
Roth IRA
Retirement year and your age are set on the
Inputs tab (About you).
Which account types do you hold? Set the
Account types on the
Inputs tab (Taxable / Traditional IRA / Roth). Defaults are examples. Each account type is taxed differently below.
${ry} tax estimate retirement year · age ${ryAge}
Taxable-account income (MSTY/STRC/bond/cash)$36.9K/yr
Federal income tax (est.)−$4K
State income tax (5%)−$3.7K
Net spendable (no principal touched)$29.3K/yr
Your target withdrawal$250K/yr
Gap to fund from assets−$220.7K
Funding the $220.7K gap by account, ${ry}
From taxable brokerage (27% of portfolio)$58.9K
— LTCG tax (15%, approx.)−$8.8K
From Traditional IRA (73% of portfolio)$161.8K
— ordinary income tax (marginal, stacked on taxable income)−$29.9K
From Roth IRA (0% of portfolio)$0
— tax on Roth$0 (qualified)
State tax on taxable + IRA portions−$21.8K
Net from asset sales$160.2K
Assumes withdrawals are drawn proportionally to where your portfolio value sits — adjust the account mix above to model drawing from Roth or taxable first, which changes this tax bill. LTCG is applied to the full sale amount as a conservative approximation (ignores cost basis).
Portfolio value by account type
Source strategy by year
| Year |
Target withdrawal |
Taxable-acct income |
SEPP from IRA |
Gap (sell assets?) |
Fed tax est. |
State tax est. |
Net after tax |
| 2026 |
$250K |
$19.6K |
−$234.3K |
$2K |
$1.9K |
$15.7K |
| 2028 |
$250K |
$36.9K |
−$220.7K |
$4K |
$3.7K |
$29.3K |
| 2030 |
$250K |
$68.5K |
−$196.1K |
$7.8K |
$6.8K |
$53.9K |
| 2032 |
$250K |
$127.5K |
−$153.3K |
$18.2K |
$12.6K |
$96.7K |
| 2034 |
$250K |
$242.2K |
−$76K |
$44.2K |
$24K |
$174K |
| 2035 |
$250K |
$338.1K |
−$12.6K |
$67.2K |
$33.5K |
$237.4K |
| 2036 |
$250K |
$478K |
✓ covered |
$108.3K |
$47.3K |
$322.3K |
| 2038 |
$250K |
$1M |
✓ covered |
$297.6K |
$99.4K |
$607K |
| 2040 |
$250K |
$2.32M |
✓ covered |
$785.6K |
$230K |
$1.31M |
| 2042 |
$250K |
$6.2M |
✓ covered |
$2.22M |
$614.2K |
$3.37M |
| 2044 |
$250K |
$20.48M |
✓ covered |
$7.5M |
$2.03M |
$10.95M |
| 2045 |
$250K |
$41.25M |
✓ covered |
$15.19M |
$4.08M |
$21.98M |
Portfolio projections are speculative and for planning purposes only. Not financial advice.